Newbury Spring Cup Trends…

Newbury Spring Cup Handicap – 3.40 Newbury

A busy day under both codes today so I won’t hang about…

The Spring Cup generally isn’t a race I would get overly involved in but I’ve had a dig into the trends for the race and have uncovered the following…

11 of the last 12 winners (last 12 Newbury renewals) passed ALL of the following trends…

GB or IRE bred

Aged 4yo – 6yo

OR 100 – 85

Carried 8-2 – 9-8

OR no more than 2lbs below or 2lbs above last start

OR at least 1lb above last win

Top 4 1 of last 3 starts

Won at least at C4 level but not above C2 level

4-26 previous career starts

1-4 career victories

Ran in a C2 or C3 contest LTO worth between 10.5k – 100k

SP 20-1 or less LTO

Which returns 12 years stats of…

11/44 | 25% S/R | +£114.50 LSP – W&P 17/44 | 39% S/R

 

A strict reading of those trends leaves…

BANKSEA

ZHUI FENG

STORM AHEAD

ANOTHER TOUCH

A couple only fall down on one of the trends…

EL HAYEM (Highest Class win)

FASTNET TEMPEST (Prize money LTO)

HOME CUMMINS (Race Class LTO)

.

How the pace is likely to play out….

Potential for this to favour those draw middle to high, with the majority of the pace housed in the top four stalls. There is, however, bits and bats of pace middle to low so it’s no absolute guarantee that the pace will play to the hooves of those drawn high.

Best of luck if you are getting involved today.

Ben (BDH)

Doors to the FULL BDH service, with more analysis like the above throughout the season, are now OPEN

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